Microsoft has emerged as the winner from Big Tech’s first earnings of the new Trump term, with the software giant poised to regain its crown from Apple as the most valuable public company as investors bet it is best placed to navigate the current trade war. Despite widespread pessimism ahead of its results, Microsoft posted record revenue at its Azure cloud computing unit, crediting its partnership with OpenAI and demand for its artificial intelligence-infused software. Those comments provided succour to investors amid fears of a US recession and concerns that vast expenditures on AI are unjustified. This text has been highlighted 8 times by other subscribers! Add to highlights Apple and Amazon were the major losers, with the iPhone maker budgeting at least $900mn in extra quarterly costs from tariffs, while the ecommerce giant cut its outlook and warned of higher prices and plunging consumer spending. Combined, they were set to lose roughly $190bn in market value based on after-hours trading on Thursday. Microsoft’s outperformance enabled it to stick with an ambitious plan to spend $80bn on data centres this fiscal year ending on June 30 and even more in the next, including tens of billions on new projects in Europe to ensure the US cannot cut off the region’s access to data and computing power. “Not only did Microsoft knock the most important number out of the park, but their capex commentary spelled relief” for the tech sector, said Ben Reitzes, head of technology research at Melius. “We expect Microsoft to continue to benefit since confidence in Azure has been restored — and you can’t tariff software.”
“You aren’t going to like what comes after America,” the great bard Leonard Cohen famously wrote. Perhaps he is being proved right — at least this is not the America we thought we knew. (“I’ve seen the future,” Cohen also sang, “it is murder.”) Guessing the endgame of President Donald Trump’s policies is a fool’s errand. But it would be a fool, too, who didn’t try to prepare for a world from which the US has withdrawn — economically, militarily and diplomatically. So here in Free Lunch, I want to start an occasional series of pieces on how the world, and in particular (the rest of) the liberal democratic west, might cope with a US-sized hole in its heart. Send me your thoughts at freelunch@ft.com. My thoughts today are about international governance — where I bring, I hope, some good news, at any rate better than what Cohen would have us fear. The Maga modus operandi in international affairs is now familiar. The polite word for it is bilateralism. More harshly, it’s divide and r...
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